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Orbán in 1995, Gyurcsány in 2011 - Comments

And so the experiment began. Although I know that the conditions are not the same, yet I can see certain similarities between the activities of Mr. Orbán in 1995 and of Mr. Gyurcsány in 2011. It is not certain yet whether the outcome will be the same, although it may have a happy ending. Of course the question is what constitutes a happy ending for whom.
So, from a number of perspectives, the situation reminds us of the position after 1994. Fidesz, led by Mr. Orbán, was brutally defeated in 1994, even though it had forged a liberal election coalition just before the election when its popularity was in decline. In the end Fidesz narrowly managed to get into the parliament, but also the fragmented conservative Hungarian right, led by MDF, lost as well. MDF’s election flop was far worse after 4 years in government than that of MSZP that governed the country for 8 years, during which period it actually managed to win an election with Mr. Gyurcsány as prime minister.
I don’t believe that MSZP will be able to beat Fidesz on its own. One just needs to look at MSZP’s team. The party’s current structure is under pressure from organizational fatigue, fragmentation or closed local organizations, and MSZP’s moral issues are of concern for the general public. All the right criticism of Fidesz is in vain if there are no new and exciting promises made to back up on the criticism.
Today they act as if the party had managed to stabilize itself. This is only true to the extent that anyone who is still there would even be there if they did some nasty things live on TV. However, this first year in opposition has not produce anything new in terms of voters, or the internal life of the party, or its workings. The only new element that could generate some momentum was the establishment of the Democratic Coalition.
Zsolt Gréczy, http://greczy.blog.hu, May 15. 2011.

Last Updated on Friday, 30 August 2013 09:11

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