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Ruling Fidesz popularity falls

Medián published in HVG its latest polls. It shows that While in January 37% of the electorate would have voted for Fidesz, that percentage has now shrunk to 31%. This amounts to the loss of almost half a million voters. Underlying this drop is a general dissatisfaction with the governing party. The pollsters says that the drop in Fidesz's popularity is largely due to Viktor Orbán's decision to launch a frontal attack against Central European University.

Medián usually asks its respondents to name the one party they would under no circumstances vote for. In January only 37% of the respondents named Fidesz, but by now 46% of those surveyed said they would never cast their vote for the government party. In January half of the electorate were satisfied with the work of the government; today it's only 40%. In January 46% of the people were hopeful about the future. Today that number has plummeted to 33%, with 57% expecting worse times to come. The percentage of those who want a change of government in 2018 has increased from 48% to 52%.
The big winner was Jobbik, which gained four percentage points over the past 3 months. In January 10% of the electorate would have voted for Jobbik. Today it is 14% which, given Jobbik voters' enthusiasm for going to the polls, means that the party would receive 20% of the actual votes cast. This sudden jump in popularity is most likely due to the highly successful Jobbik "You Work—They Steal" campaign.
The parties on the left also gained a few percentage points. Those who expected miracles from László Botka's announcement of his readiness to head MSZP's ticket in preparation for the 2018 election must be disappointed. MSZP's 9% is nothing to brag about, especially since Botka has been canvassing the country for the last month. MSZP's standing is practically the same as it was in January. As for his own popularity, his name by now is widely known, but his popularity hasn't moved upward. The two great losers in the popularity ranking are Viktor Orbán (-9) and János Áder (-11).
One more interesting item. Endre Hann and Zsuzsa Lakatos, who coauthored the article on the Medián poll, state that "the extrusion of Ferenc Gyurcsány ... proved to be divisive. Two-thirds of MSZP voters would still like to see him 'in an important political role.' On the other hand, it is true that Botka ... is considered to be a qualified candidate for the premiership by 54% of the DK voters."
Source: hvg.hu; hungarianspectrum.org

Last Updated on Thursday, 04 May 2017 08:06

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